{"id":"f9fc9d56-4c52-42b7-9ccb-b1d867feeea6","title":"叶尔羌河流域水资源、农业、生态系统脆弱性预测情景数据集（V1.0) (2010-2050)","title_en":"Vulnerability forecast scenarios dataset of the water resources, agriculture, and ecosystem of the Yerqiang River Basin (Version 1.0) (2010-2050)","serial":"地球大数据科学工程专项时空三极环境项目","user_limit":"为尊重知识产权、保障数据作者的权益、扩展数据中心的服务、评估数据的应用潜力，请数据使用者在使用数据所产生的研究成果中（包括公开发表的论文、论著、数据产品和未公开发表的研究报告、数据产品等成果），明确注明数据来源和数据作者。对于转载（二次或多次发布）的数据，作者还须注明原始数据来源。","instructions":"excel格式存储","description":"采用供需平衡的分析方法，分别计算流域总体及各县区水资源供给量及需求量的基础上，评估流域水资源系统脆弱性。采用IPAT等式设置未来水资源需求情景，即通过设定未来的人口增长率、经济增长速度、单位GDP耗水量等变量来建立需水情景。以2005年为基准年，预测未来2010-2050年的各县市水资源需求情景。人口规模、经济规模采用配套预测数据。应用瑞典水文气象研究所HBV概念性水文模型的基本结构，设计了在气候变化下流域变化趋势的模型，以冰川融化情景为模型的输入，构建气候变化下出山径流情景。依据流域水资源配置的国家地方规定设置配水方案，综合计算水资源供给量。综合供需情况，以缺水率为指标评价水资源系统脆弱性。通过计算流域主要县市的（小麦生产）土地压力指数，分析了流域气候变化、冰川融化及人口增长情景下土地资源的供需平衡，评价了农业系统脆弱性。分别运用迈阿密公式及HANPP模型计算了未来情景下，流域各主要县市净初级生物生产量及初级生物量的人类占用，以供需平衡角度评估生态系统脆弱性。","doi":"10.11888/Socio-econ.tpe.0000006.file","projection":"","language":"zh","share_type":"online","east":78.0,"west":74.0,"south":35.0,"north":38.0,"scale":null,"crs":null,"filesize":0.27,"share_policy":"a","ts_created":"2018-02-13T22:43:29+08:00","doi_type":"拥有自主知识产权","ts_updated":"2021-11-05T09:51:42.025992+08:00","time_description":"","datas_group":3,"time_description_en":"","data_format":"EXCEL","project":[10,11],"specials":["1832ecb3-70d0-4b5e-bdb5-2e9ff4ad1efe","f2a78cde-1c98-4241-94dc-7532eba32b80"],"cite":"杨林生,钟方雷. 叶尔羌河流域2010-2050年水资源、农业、生态系统脆弱性预测情景数据集（V1.0）. 时空三极环境大数据平台. 2018","review_status":5,"review_invite":[],"review_editor":{"id":21057,"last_login":"2022-04-02T11:43:37.753860+08:00","username":"gecm","email":"gechm@lzb.ac.cn","is_active":true,"is_staff":true,"user_name":"盖春梅"},"data_sources":"","temporal_resolution":"","spatial_resolution":"","license":"Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0)","fund":[5],"subtopics":{"metadata":"f9fc9d56-4c52-42b7-9ccb-b1d867feeea6","three_pole":null,"third_pole":null},"username":"王利","review_time":null,"protected_duration":0,"protected_describe":null,"is_important":false,"hit_count":2409}